2034: a decade of meaningful profitability expansion (33.7 percent in 2034)
dez25 Macau’s casino industry is poised for a decade of meaningful profitability expansion, with industry-wide adjusted EBITDA to gross gaming revenue ( GGR ) margins expected to rise from 27.6 percent in 2024 to 33.7 percent in 2034, according to Morningstar ’s latest outlook. The firm attributes the improvement to a sustained shift toward higher-margin mass-market play, rising operating efficiency, and a regulatory environment that constrains supply and supports industry-wide economics. Morningstar Senior Equity Analyst Jennifer Song Jennifer Song , senior equity analyst at Morningstar, projects industry-adjusted EBITDA to grow at a compound annual rate of 6.2 percent through 2034, outpacing the expected 4.2 percent compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in GGR during the same period. The research notes that longer-term operating leverage—particularly as mass volumes expand—will be central to margin enhancement. While promotional intensity has increased in the near term amid h...