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Casino premium market: The great post-2022 transformation (Ryan HO)

 Dez25 The gaming regulatory framework introduced after 2022 has accelerated a shift away from the traditional VIP junket model towards the Premium Mass and Premium Direct segments, a recent academic dissertation shows This is the main conclusion of a doctoral thesis recently defended by Ryan Ho Hong Wai at the Faculty of Business and Law of the University of Saint Joseph. Ryan Ho titled his thesis  “Investigating the Premium market in Macau casinos: regulation, practice and challenges” . With the implementation of the new regulatory system — aimed, among other objectives, at reducing Macau’s financial and political reliance on the highly volatile, opaque and junket-controlled VIP segment — casino operators were compelled to adjust their business strategies towards the Premium Mass and Premium Direct markets. “There has been a trend among concessionaires towards premiumizing the gaming market by offering loyalty programs and personalized services for their premium direct and p...

Macau casinos earn similar revenue with far lower junket costs: Study

 jan26 Macau’s gaming industry has undergone a profound structural shift under the new gaming concession framework, with data showing that commissions, incentives, and rebates paid by concessionaires in 2023 and 2024 fell far more sharply than gross gaming revenue ( GGR ), amid a continued decline in the role of gaming junkets and changes in casino operating models. According to a peer-reviewed study published in Global Gaming & Tourism Research, an academic journal of the  Center for Gaming and Tourism Studies  at Macao Polytechnic University, total industry-wide spending on commissions, incentives, discounts, and rebates amounted to MOP39.507 billion ($4.94 billion) in 2024 and MOP31.762 billion ($3.97 billion) in 2023. These figures represent declines of between 37 percent and 49 percent compared with MOP62.608 billion ($7.83 billion) recorded in 2019. By contrast, industry GGR over the same periods fell by a smaller margin of between 22 percent and 37 percent, ind...

New tourist's profile

 dez25 I think the industry has evolved beyond simply offering a bed, a good night’s sleep, and breakfast. Guests now want a deeper, more meaningful experience. That is what we aim to provide — from the pre-arrival stage, understanding their itinerary, to organising anything they may need in advance. With our butler service and other specialised offerings, we ensure that these personalised services play an important role in their stay. https://macaubusiness.com/guests-now-want-a-deeper-more-meaningful-experience

2034: a decade of meaningful profitability expansion (33.7 percent in 2034)

 dez25 Macau’s casino industry is poised for a decade of meaningful profitability expansion, with industry-wide adjusted EBITDA to gross gaming revenue ( GGR ) margins expected to rise from 27.6 percent in 2024 to 33.7 percent in 2034, according to  Morningstar ’s latest outlook. The firm attributes the improvement to a sustained shift toward higher-margin mass-market play, rising operating efficiency, and a regulatory environment that constrains supply and supports industry-wide economics. Morningstar Senior Equity Analyst Jennifer Song Jennifer Song , senior equity analyst at Morningstar, projects industry-adjusted EBITDA to grow at a compound annual rate of 6.2 percent through 2034, outpacing the expected 4.2 percent compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in GGR during the same period. The research notes that longer-term operating leverage—particularly as mass volumes expand—will be central to margin enhancement. While promotional intensity has increased in the near term amid h...

Macau EBITDA to grow 10% in 2026

dez26 Banking giant Citigroup is forecasting Macau’s gross gaming revenues to rise 6% and EBITDA by 10% year-on-year in 2026, driven by big name concerts, the addition of luxurious hotel suite supply and the addition of new baccarat side bets. This will ensure Macau remains the “top travel destination for the affluent mainland Chinese visitors who seek a total experience,” said Citi analysts George Choi and Timothy Chau in a Thursday note. A 6% increase would see gaming revenues reach around MOP$263.5 billion (US$33.0 billion) – representing 90% of pre-COVID levels. “We expect concerts to drive growth in visitation and premium players’ per-capita spending (as they need to check-in cash to the casinos to secure hot concert tickets), new hotel suites to increase average length of stay and the increasing popularity in new side bets to further boost hold rates,” Citi said. “We forecast industry EBITDA to grow 10% year-on-year, with EBITDA margins holding up at around 29% – largely flat yea...

Crescimento do jogo “desafia” diversificação económica

 dez25 No último ano, o valor acrescentado bruto (VAB) das actividades económicas não-relacionadas com o jogo fixou-se em 218 mil milhões de patacas, correspondendo a um decréscimo anual de 1,35%. Representando 56,7% de todos os ramos de actividade, o VAB registado em 2024 foi cinco pontos percentuais inferior ao peso atingido em 2023 (61,7%). No cômputo geral, o VAB de todos os ramos cifrou-se em 385 mil milhões de patacas, o que significa um aumento anual de 8,2%. De acordo com a Direcção dos Serviços de Estatística e Censos (DSEC), o VAB do jogo cresceu 22,5% para 167 mil milhões de patacas. Nesse intervalo de tempo, o peso do sector do jogo cresceu 4,9 pontos percentuais, para 43,3%. A seguir à indústria do jogo, a administração pública, a educação, a saúde e outros serviços sociais foram o ramo que mais contribuiu para o VAB, perfazendo 11,9% do total, no ano transacto. Seguiram-se as “actividades imobiliárias” (10,2%), os “bancos e seguros” (7.9%), o “comércio por grosso e a ...

A AI vai mudar o gaming?

 de25 Transforming sports betting: AI and the future